The impact of climate change on vindpower production capacity

In a future electricity system with 100% renewable electricity, wind power will account for a significant proportion of electricity generation. Several assessments point to up to 100 TWh of wind power in Sweden in 2040. In order for the wind power to be developed in a resource-efficient way, improved knowledge of how climate change will affect future wind conditions is required.

The overall aim of this project is to develop an in-depth basis on how future climate change can affect wind power production, especially with regard to how the variability in the wind climate will change. Furthermore, the project will increase knowledge about how a future Swedish energy system will be affected and what kind of variation management is needed to create good security of supply.

The project focuses on the time period up to 2040 and with outlook towards 2070. These periods correspond roughly to when the Earth's average temperature will reach 1.5 and 2.0 degrees above pre-industrial level.