Alliance for Modelling Industries towards the Green Deal’s objectives And circuLArity

The objective of the European Green Deal policy is to be climate-neutral by 2050.

However, the key problem of the industry transition towards climate neutrality is that the combined response of demand, global trade and industrial production to policy measures is highly complex.The aim of the AMIGDALA project is to facilitate decision makers in governments and in the EU’s industries to define and evaluate pathways towards climate neutrality, circularity and sustainability.

In this project we combine insights in decision-making with integrated modelling of scenarios to analyze transformation pathways.

We analyze decisions-making in government and in industry by the control options that they have such as incentives, regulatory measures and investments in capital projects to contribute to the Green Deal’s objectives.

We deliver an integrated model to represent EU industry’s transformation pathways up to 2070 and cover historical developments from 1990. We develop a method to combine established models of separate domains and let them operate as-one.

This integrated model shows the combined effect of control options on economy, trade, energy, materials flow, biomass and industrial production on an EU systems-level and within a global context.

On a local-level we use models to analyze the decisions by industry clusters to invest in transformative solutions and utility operators to build infrastructure.

With the integrated model we run scenarios that we develop on the basis of the control options of decisionmakers to achieve industrial transformation towards climate neutrality.

The integrated model allows to analyze the effect of framework conditions on the uptake of transformative solutions and products and on energy demand, emissions, and material use.

The AMIGDALA consortium has a deep and shared knowledge of technologies, economy, life cycle analysis and complex systems modelling and decision support analysis.